The RSVPs for the wedding continue to roll in. In today’s mailbox there were 9 RSVPs, which bring the current total attendance (yes replies) to 70. Add Jen and me into the equation, and we’re currently looking at 72 individuals attending the wedding. Woohoo! (Our projected number is 150 guests.)
Of 160 mailed-out invitations (based on addresses, not individuals), we’ve received 70 RSVP cards, which is 43.75% response to date. Of these, 40 RSVP cards represent 70 guests; 30 cards represent “regrets” responses. 57.14% of received reply cards represent “accepts” responses.
Based on these numbers, if we apply the same math to the 90 outstanding cards, we can predict the following: We will receive 51.43 RSVP cards with “accepts,” representing an additional 90 guests, bringing the total just past our projection to 159.
Factor in conventional wisdom, which says that the majority of guests who will attend will reply early, and that brings the number down a bit. I’ll guess that our total will end up being 140; Jen is predicting 130.
Guess who the numbers freak in this marriage is?
3 responses so far ↓
1 Jordan // Jun 14, 2003 at 11:00 am
So when are you going to put up the page where we can wager on how many “yes” RSVP’s you’re going to get? I’ll take 143!
2 Dave Reed // Jun 15, 2003 at 1:38 pm
I’ll take 135. If I knew probability better, I’d make a better guess.
3 gabe // Jun 28, 2003 at 1:11 pm
we’re now at 125. update also here. jen is upping her prediction to 138.